Nottingham Forest vs Brentford: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The City Ground, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire
The Footlab model makes Nottingham Forest the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Brentford. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Brentford?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Nottingham Forest (2,148) and Brentford (2,186).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nottingham Forest have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Brentford have 5, 8 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leeds(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Stade Brestois 29(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Barcelona(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Udinese(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tottenham(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt(home) | 7-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rennes(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Liverpool(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Crystal Palace(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Nottingham Forest win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Brentford win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Brentford 0-2 Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Nottingham Forest 3-1 Brentford | Premier League |
| May 1, 2025 | Nottingham Forest 0-2 Brentford | Premier League |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Brentford 0-2 Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Brentford 3-2 Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Nottingham Forest 1-1 Brentford | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Brentford vs Nottingham Forest on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nottingham Forest score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Brentford score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Brentford | 2.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nottingham Forest sit 15th in Premier League (0 points from 1 matches) and Brentford sit 3rd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Brentford | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 15 | Nottingham Forest | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nottingham Forest vs Brentford?
- The Footlab model makes Nottingham Forest the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Brentford.
- Where and when is Nottingham Forest vs Brentford played?
- Nottingham Forest vs Brentford is played on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The City Ground, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.