Arsenal vs Liverpool: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Emirates Stadium, London
The Footlab AI model makes Arsenal the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Liverpool. The most likely score is 1-1. If Arsenal wins, the most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,460 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arsenal vs Liverpool?
Arsenal starts as the favourite with a 152-point Elo edge (2,442 vs 2,291).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Arsenal vs Liverpool
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Arsenal
4-2-3-1- 29K. Havertz
- 41D. Rice
- 49M. Lewis-Skelly
- 8M. Ødegaard
- 7B. Saka
- 20N. Madueke
- 6Gabriel Magalhães
- 15E. Konsa
- 33R. Calafiori
- 4B. White
- 1David Raya
Liverpool
4-2-3-1- 67L. Koumas
- 7F. Wirtz
- 29B. Barcola
- 38R. Gravenberch
- 10A. Mac Allister
- 23Víctor Muñoz
- 33R. Araújo
- 5J. Jacquet
- 4V. van Dijk
- 6M. Kerkez
- 1Alisson Becker
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 09:36 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arsenal have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Liverpool have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Lille(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Leeds(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Brighton(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Ipswich(away) | 4-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Sunderland(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Lask Linz(away) | 6-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Manchester City(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bournemouth(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Tottenham(home) | 3-1 | League Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Fulham(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Arsenal win, 3 draws, 2 Liverpool wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | Arsenal 0-0 Liverpool | Premier League |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Liverpool 1-0 Arsenal | Premier League |
| May 11, 2025 | Liverpool 2-2 Arsenal | Premier League |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Arsenal 2-2 Liverpool | Premier League |
| Jul 31, 2024 | Liverpool 2-1 Arsenal | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Arsenal 3-1 Liverpool | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Arsenal score 2.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Liverpool score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 2.0 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Liverpool | 1.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arsenal sit 2nd in Premier League (15 points from 6 matches) and Liverpool sit 9th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Arsenal | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 15 |
| 9 | Liverpool | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 9 |
A question about Arsenal vs Liverpool?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arsenal vs Liverpool?
- The Footlab AI model makes Arsenal the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Liverpool.
- Where and when is Arsenal vs Liverpool played?
- Arsenal vs Liverpool is played on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Emirates Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.