Burton Albion vs Wigan: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 1, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Pirelli Stadium, Burton-upon-Trent, Staffordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Burton Albion the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Wigan. The most likely score is 1-1. If Burton Albion wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,533 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Burton Albion vs Wigan?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Burton Albion (1,756) and Wigan (1,732).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Burton Albion vs Wigan
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Burton Albion
3-4-2-1- 10Mark O’Mahony
- 17R. Borges Rodrigues
- 4K. Chauke
- 8C. Webster
- 41Sulyman Krubally
- 9G. Arubi
- 24Harvey Araujo
- 16C. Tilt
- 6T. Sibbick
- 20J. Sraha
- 34C. Addai
Wigan
3-4-2-1- 25S. Hogan
- 2C. Barrett
- 27B. Burrows
- 10R. Walsh
- 18Charlie Gray
- 8M. Power
- 11D. Costelloe
- 6J. Weir
- 5F. Burns
- 23J. Carragher
- 41J. Whitworth
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 02:44 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burton Albion have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Wigan have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Leyton Orient(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Peterborough(away) | 2-2 | League One |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Doncaster(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Mansfield Town(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Bromley(home) | 3-2 | League One |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Leicester(away) | 0-3 | League One |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Huddersfield(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Oxford United(away) | 1-2 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Burton Albion wins, 2 draws, 2 Wigan wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | Burton Albion 0-2 Wigan | League One |
| Dec 2, 2025 | Wigan 1-0 Burton Albion | League One |
| Apr 29, 2025 | Burton Albion 1-1 Wigan | League One |
| Jan 21, 2025 | Wigan 1-2 Burton Albion | League One |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Wigan 1-1 Burton Albion | League One |
| Oct 3, 2023 | Burton Albion 2-1 Wigan | League One |
Last archived meeting: Burton Albion vs Wigan on Dec 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Burton Albion score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Wigan score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton Albion | 1.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Wigan | 1.0 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Burton Albion sit 15th in League One (17 points from 14 matches) and Wigan sit 21st (11 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Burton Albion | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 21 | 17 |
| 21 | Wigan | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 11 |
A question about Burton Albion vs Wigan?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Burton Albion vs Wigan?
- The Footlab AI model makes Burton Albion the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Wigan.
- Where and when is Burton Albion vs Wigan played?
- Burton Albion vs Wigan is played on December 1, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Pirelli Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.