Notts County vs Crewe: result 2-1 and analysis
League TwoRegular Season - 10Kick-off on September 29, 2018 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Meadow Lane, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire
Full time
What was the result of Notts County vs Crewe?
Notts County won 2-1 on September 29, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 5′R. MilsomNotts County
- 14′J. BoweryCrewe
- 61′E. HewittNotts County
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Notts County have 0 wins, 6 draws and 9 defeats; Crewe have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2018 | Northampton(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Sep 15, 2018 | Stevenage(home) | 3-3 | League Two |
| Sep 8, 2018 | Exeter City(away) | 1-5 | League Two |
| Sep 4, 2018 | Grimsby(away) | 1-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 1, 2018 | Forest Green(home) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2018 | Manchester City U21(home) | 1-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2018 | Port Vale(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Sep 15, 2018 | Cheltenham(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Sep 4, 2018 | Tranmere(away) | 4-3 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 1, 2018 | Macclesfield(home) | 3-0 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Notts County win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Crewe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2018 | Notts County 4-1 Crewe | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2017 | Crewe 2-0 Notts County | League Two |
| Apr 14, 2017 | Crewe 2-2 Notts County | League Two |
| Oct 15, 2016 | Notts County 1-1 Crewe | League Two |
| Jan 17, 2015 | Notts County 2-1 Crewe | League One |
| Sep 30, 2014 | Crewe 0-3 Notts County | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Notts County score 1.1 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Crewe score 1.4 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notts County | 1.1 | 2.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Crewe | 1.4 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Crewe | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy