Notts County vs Wigan: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 39Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Meadow Lane, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire
The Footlab AI model makes Notts County the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Wigan. The most likely score is 1-1. If Notts County wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Notts County vs Wigan?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Notts County (1,854) and Wigan (1,790).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Notts County vs Wigan
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Notts County
3-4-2-1- 9D. Kanu
- 8O. Cooper
- 18M. Palmer
- 26I. Samuels-Smith
- 14D. Lipsiuc
- 7C. Roberts
- 15J. Evans
- 12L. Ness
- 4J. Bedeau
- 3R. McDonald
- 1J. Gibbons
Wigan
3-4-2-1- 25S. Hogan
- 8M. Power
- 6J. Weir
- 18Charlie Gray
- 22J. Mellish
- 2C. Barrett
- 27B. Burrows
- 5F. Burns
- 23J. Carragher
- 4J. Chilokoa-Mullen
- 41J. Whitworth
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 08:56 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Notts County have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Wigan have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Nottingham Forest U21(home) | 5-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Oxford United(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Grimsby(home) | 2-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Reading(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Stevenage(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Blackpool(home) | 3-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Wycombe(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Sheffield Wednesday(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Stockport County(home) | 0-4 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Notts County wins, 0 draws, 1 Wigan win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2025 | Wigan 1-0 Notts County | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Wigan vs Notts County on Aug 12, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Notts County score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Wigan score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notts County | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Wigan | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Notts County sit 22nd in League One (7 points from 8 matches) and Wigan sit 24th (4 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Notts County | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 7 |
| 24 | Wigan | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 4 |
A question about Notts County vs Wigan?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Notts County vs Wigan?
- The Footlab AI model makes Notts County the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Wigan.
- Where and when is Notts County vs Wigan played?
- Notts County vs Wigan is played on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Meadow Lane, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.