Burton Albion vs Barnsley: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 39Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Pirelli Stadium, Burton-upon-Trent, Staffordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Burton Albion the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Barnsley. The most likely score is 1-1. If Burton Albion wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,853 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Burton Albion vs Barnsley?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Burton Albion (1,822) and Barnsley (1,788).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Burton Albion vs Barnsley
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Burton Albion
3-4-2-1- 19M. Dennis
- 17R. Borges Rodrigues
- 4K. Chauke
- 8C. Webster
- 14W. Collar
- 3J. Armer
- 24Harvey Araujo
- 16C. Tilt
- 26F. Delap
- 12G. Evans
- 34C. Addai
Barnsley
4-2-3-1- 10B. Touré
- 8C. McGeehan
- 19R. Cleary
- 22Patrick Kelly
- 45Vimal Yoganathan
- 17Amani Richards
- 6C. O'Riordan
- 2A. Kay
- 5J. Shepherd
- 11T. Noslin
- 25Rogan Ravenhill
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 12:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burton Albion have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Barnsley have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Peterborough(away) | 2-2 | League One |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Doncaster(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Grimsby(away) | 0-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Huddersfield(home) | 1-3 | League One |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Plymouth(away) | 1-0 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Cambridge United(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Stockport County(away) | 1-3 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 1-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Leeds United U21(home) | 3-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Leicester(home) | 1-1 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Burton Albion wins, 2 draws, 4 Barnsley wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Burton Albion 1-1 Barnsley | League One |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Barnsley 3-2 Burton Albion | League One |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Barnsley 0-0 Burton Albion | League One |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Burton Albion 1-2 Barnsley | League One |
| Apr 1, 2024 | Burton Albion 1-3 Barnsley | League One |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Barnsley 2-0 Burton Albion | League One |
Last archived meeting: Burton Albion vs Barnsley on Apr 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Burton Albion score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Barnsley score 1.4 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton Albion | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Barnsley | 1.4 | 2.1 | 1 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Burton Albion sit 10th in League One (13 points from 11 matches) and Barnsley sit 21st (8 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Burton Albion | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 13 |
| 21 | Barnsley | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 8 |
A question about Burton Albion vs Barnsley?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Burton Albion vs Barnsley?
- The Footlab AI model makes Burton Albion the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Barnsley.
- Where and when is Burton Albion vs Barnsley played?
- Burton Albion vs Barnsley is played on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Pirelli Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.