Novaci vs Shkupi 1927: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Metallurg, Novatsi
The Footlab model makes Novaci the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Shkupi 1927. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Novaci vs Shkupi 1927?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Novaci (1,330) and Shkupi 1927 (1,251).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Novaci have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Shkupi 1927 have 0, 0 and 15.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Belasica(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ohrid(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pelister(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kozuv Gevgelija(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Ohrid(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kozuv Gevgelija(away) | 0-2 | Second League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Detonit Plachkovica(home) | 0-2 | Second League |
| May 24, 2026 | Akademija Pandev(away) | 0-6 | First League |
| May 16, 2026 | FK Rabotnicki(home) | 0-7 | First League |
| May 9, 2026 | Pelister(away) | 0-7 | First League |
How many goals should we expect?
Novaci score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Shkupi 1927 score 0.2 and concede 4.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novaci | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Shkupi 1927 | 0.2 | 4.7 | 0 | 2/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Novaci sit 12th in Second League (0 points from 2 matches) and Shkupi 1927 sit 14th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Novaci | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 | Shkupi 1927 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Novaci vs Shkupi 1927?
- The Footlab model makes Novaci the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Shkupi 1927.
- Where and when is Novaci vs Shkupi 1927 played?
- Novaci vs Shkupi 1927 is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Metallurg, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.