Osogovo vs Ohrid: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Nikola Mantov, Kočani
The Footlab model makes Ohrid the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Osogovo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Osogovo vs Ohrid?
Ohrid starts as the favourite with a 135-point Elo edge (1,479 vs 1,343).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Osogovo have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Ohrid have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kamjani(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Belasica(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| May 23, 2026 | Novaci(away) | 3-3 | Second League |
| May 16, 2026 | Bregalnica Štip(home) | 0-3 | Second League |
| May 10, 2026 | Vardar Negotino(away) | 4-0 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Novaci(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Novaci(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Sloga Vinica(home) | 7-1 | Second League |
| May 16, 2026 | Detonit Plachkovica(away) | 2-0 | Second League |
| May 10, 2026 | Golemo Konjari(home) | 3-0 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Osogovo win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Ohrid win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | Osogovo 1-0 Ohrid | Second League |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Ohrid 2-0 Osogovo | Second League |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Ohrid 2-2 Osogovo | Second League |
| Oct 29, 2024 | Osogovo 0-2 Ohrid | Second League |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Ohrid 5-0 Osogovo | Second League |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Osogovo 0-3 Ohrid | Second League |
How many goals should we expect?
Osogovo score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ohrid score 2.2 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osogovo | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Ohrid | 2.2 | 0.6 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Osogovo sit 11th in Second League (0 points from 2 matches) and Ohrid sit 7th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Ohrid | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Osogovo | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Osogovo vs Ohrid?
- The Footlab model makes Ohrid the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Osogovo.
- Where and when is Osogovo vs Ohrid played?
- Osogovo vs Ohrid is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Nikola Mantov, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.