Novara vs Spal: result 0-1 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 5, 2016 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Silvio Piola, Novara
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What was the result of Novara vs Spal?
Spal won 0-1 on November 5, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 11′N. GianiSpal
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Novara have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Spal have 6, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2016 | Ternana(away) | 3-4 | Serie B |
| Oct 25, 2016 | Bari(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 22, 2016 | Avellino(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 16, 2016 | PRO Vercelli(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 8, 2016 | Ascoli(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2016 | Avellino(home) | 3-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 25, 2016 | Frosinone(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 22, 2016 | Carpi(home) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 14, 2016 | Cesena(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 9, 2016 | Pisa(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Novara score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Spal score 1.6 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novara | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Spal | 1.6 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/14 | 8/14 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy