Match

Novara vs Alcione: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 16Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Silvio Piola, Novara

NovaraAlcione

The Footlab model makes Novara the favourite at 40%, against 31% for a draw and 28% for Alcione. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Novara vs Alcione?

A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Novara (1,758) and Alcione (1,747).

Novara win40 %
Draw31 %
Alcione win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Novara have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Alcione have 2, 7 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Novara
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Juventus U23(away)0-1Serie C - Girone A
Aug 16, 2026Alcione(away)1-0Coppa Italia Serie C
Aug 5, 2026Virtus Entella(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Sampdoria(away)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026Ospitaletto(away)2-0Serie C - Girone A
Alcione
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Renate(home)3-1Serie C - Girone A
Aug 16, 2026Novara(home)0-1Coppa Italia Serie C
Jul 30, 2026Mantova(away)2-6Friendlies Clubs
Jul 22, 2026Torino(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026Lumezzane(away)0-0Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Novara win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Alcione win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Alcione 0-1 NovaraCoppa Italia Serie C
Mar 22, 2026Novara 3-0 AlcioneSerie C - Girone A
Nov 16, 2025Alcione 0-1 NovaraSerie C - Girone A
Feb 9, 2025Novara 1-1 AlcioneSerie C - Girone A
Sep 28, 2024Alcione 2-1 NovaraSerie C - Girone A

Last archived meeting: Alcione vs Novara on Aug 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Novara score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Alcione score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Novara1.31.158/157/15
Alcione0.71.337/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Novara sit 18th in Serie C - Girone A (0 points from 1 matches) and Alcione sit 1st (3 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Alcione1100313
18Novara1001010

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Novara vs Alcione?
The Footlab model makes Novara the favourite at 40%, against 31% for a draw and 28% for Alcione.
Where and when is Novara vs Alcione played?
Novara vs Alcione is played on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Silvio Piola, in the Serie C - Girone A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Novara and Alcione

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