Match

Novara vs Alcione: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 16Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Silvio Piola, Novara

NovaraAlcione

The Footlab AI model makes Novara the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Alcione. The most likely score is 1-1. If Novara wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,598 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Novara vs Alcione?

A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Novara (1,719) and Alcione (1,733).

36%30%34%
Novara winDrawAlcione win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Novara vs Alcione

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Novara

4-3-3
  1. 14M. Romano
  2. 9D. Zuppel
  3. 7E. Lanini
  1. 99G. Basso
  2. 19R. Collodel
  3. 11N. Ledonne
  1. 58M. Miceli
  2. 3S. Lartey
  3. 28A. Cannavaro
  4. 70A. Valdesi
  1. 33F. Brancolini

Alcione

4-3-3
  1. 11F. Morselli
  2. 98L. Zini
  3. 96S. Palombi
  1. 23G. Galli
  2. 18E. Lopes
  3. 10J. Pitou
  1. 25Filippo Pirola
  2. 4A. Miculi
  3. 5E. Sadotti
  4. 3P. Chierichietti
  1. 69L. Nava

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 02:22 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Novara have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Alcione have 3, 8 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Novara
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Cittadella(home)0-2Serie C - Girone A
Oct 4, 2026Dolomiti Bellunesi(away)2-1Serie C - Girone A
Sep 26, 2026Ospitaletto(home)0-2Serie C - Girone A
Sep 20, 2026Athletic Carpi(home)2-2Serie C - Girone A
Sep 17, 2026Lumezzane(away)0-0Serie C - Girone A
Alcione
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Lecco(away)1-1Serie C - Girone A
Oct 4, 2026Trento(home)2-2Serie C - Girone A
Sep 27, 2026Albinoleffe(away)1-1Serie C - Girone A
Sep 20, 2026Union Brescia(home)0-4Serie C - Girone A
Sep 17, 2026PRO Vercelli(away)2-2Serie C - Girone A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Novara wins, 1 draw, 1 Alcione win.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Alcione 0-1 NovaraCoppa Italia Serie C
Mar 22, 2026Novara 3-0 AlcioneSerie C - Girone A
Nov 16, 2025Alcione 0-1 NovaraSerie C - Girone A
Feb 9, 2025Novara 1-1 AlcioneSerie C - Girone A
Sep 28, 2024Alcione 2-1 NovaraSerie C - Girone A

Last archived meeting: Alcione vs Novara on Aug 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Novara score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Alcione score 1.2 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Novara0.91.146/156/15
Alcione1.21.6210/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Novara sit 15th in Serie C - Girone A (9 points from 9 matches) and Alcione sit 10th (12 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Alcione9261131412
15Novara92348129

A question about Novara vs Alcione?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Novara vs Alcione?
The Footlab AI model makes Novara the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Alcione.
Where and when is Novara vs Alcione played?
Novara vs Alcione is played on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Silvio Piola, in the Serie C - Girone A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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