Novi Pazar vs Mladost Lucani: prediction and stats
Super LigaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Caizcoin Arena, Novi Pazar
The Footlab model makes Novi Pazar the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Mladost Lucani. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Novi Pazar vs Mladost Lucani?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Novi Pazar (1,696) and Mladost Lucani (1,682).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Novi Pazar have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Mladost Lucani have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Radnik Surdulica(away) | 0-1 | Super Liga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Vojvodina(home) | 2-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FK Crvena Zvezda(away) | 0-2 | Super Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | OFK Beograd(home) | 1-4 | Super Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Mladost Lucani(away) | 0-0 | Super Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FK Partizan(home) | 3-1 | Super Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Zemun(away) | 1-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Cukaricki(home) | 2-2 | Super Liga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Železničar Pančevo(away) | 0-0 | Super Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Novi Pazar(home) | 0-0 | Super Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Novi Pazar win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Mladost Lucani win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Mladost Lucani 0-0 Novi Pazar | Super Liga |
| Mar 9, 2026 | Mladost Lucani 0-2 Novi Pazar | Super Liga |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Novi Pazar 1-0 Mladost Lucani | Super Liga |
| Jul 8, 2025 | Novi Pazar 1-1 Mladost Lucani | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 28, 2025 | Mladost Lucani 1-1 Novi Pazar | Super Liga |
| Dec 20, 2024 | Mladost Lucani 1-3 Novi Pazar | Super Liga |
Last archived meeting: Mladost Lucani vs Novi Pazar on Jul 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Novi Pazar score 1.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Mladost Lucani score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novi Pazar | 1.0 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Mladost Lucani | 1.3 | 0.8 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Novi Pazar sit 9th in Super Liga (7 points from 6 matches) and Mladost Lucani sit 4th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mladost Lucani | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Novi Pazar | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Novi Pazar vs Mladost Lucani?
- The Footlab model makes Novi Pazar the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Mladost Lucani.
- Where and when is Novi Pazar vs Mladost Lucani played?
- Novi Pazar vs Mladost Lucani is played on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Caizcoin Arena, in the Super Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.