Novi Pazar vs Radnik Surdulica: prediction and stats
Super LigaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Caizcoin Arena, Novi Pazar
The Footlab model makes Novi Pazar the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Radnik Surdulica. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Novi Pazar vs Radnik Surdulica?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Novi Pazar (1,697) and Radnik Surdulica (1,719).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Novi Pazar have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Radnik Surdulica have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Radnik Surdulica(away) | 0-1 | Super Liga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Vojvodina(home) | 2-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FK Crvena Zvezda(away) | 0-2 | Super Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | OFK Beograd(home) | 1-4 | Super Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Mladost Lucani(away) | 0-0 | Super Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Novi Pazar(home) | 1-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Macva(home) | 2-1 | Super Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Vojvodina(away) | 1-2 | Super Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | OFK Beograd(away) | 0-0 | Super Liga |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Mladost Lucani(home) | 1-1 | Super Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Novi Pazar win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Radnik Surdulica win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Radnik Surdulica 1-0 Novi Pazar | Super Liga |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Radnik Surdulica 2-0 Novi Pazar | Super Liga |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Radnik Surdulica 1-0 Novi Pazar | Super Liga |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Novi Pazar 2-0 Radnik Surdulica | Super Liga |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Radnik Surdulica 1-4 Novi Pazar | Super Liga |
| Dec 15, 2023 | Novi Pazar 2-1 Radnik Surdulica | Super Liga |
Last archived meeting: Radnik Surdulica vs Novi Pazar on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Novi Pazar score 1.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Radnik Surdulica score 0.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novi Pazar | 1.0 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Radnik Surdulica | 0.9 | 1.6 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Novi Pazar sit 9th in Super Liga (7 points from 6 matches) and Radnik Surdulica sit 7th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Radnik Surdulica | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
| 9 | Novi Pazar | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Novi Pazar vs Radnik Surdulica?
- The Footlab model makes Novi Pazar the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Radnik Surdulica.
- Where and when is Novi Pazar vs Radnik Surdulica played?
- Novi Pazar vs Radnik Surdulica is played on February 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Caizcoin Arena, in the Super Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.