Novi Pazar vs Železničar Pančevo: prediction and stats
Super LigaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Caizcoin Arena, Novi Pazar
The Footlab model makes Novi Pazar the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Železničar Pančevo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Novi Pazar vs Železničar Pančevo?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Novi Pazar (1,697) and Železničar Pančevo (1,750).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Novi Pazar have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Železničar Pančevo have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Radnik Surdulica(away) | 0-1 | Super Liga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Vojvodina(home) | 2-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FK Crvena Zvezda(away) | 0-2 | Super Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | OFK Beograd(home) | 1-4 | Super Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Mladost Lucani(away) | 0-0 | Super Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vojvodina(away) | 0-1 | Super Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | OFK Beograd(away) | 2-2 | Super Liga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Mladost Lucani(home) | 0-0 | Super Liga |
| Jul 30, 2026 | SC Braga(away) | 0-4 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 22, 2026 | SC Braga(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Novi Pazar win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Železničar Pančevo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Novi Pazar 2-2 Železničar Pančevo | Super Liga |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Železničar Pančevo 2-0 Novi Pazar | Super Liga |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Novi Pazar 1-0 Železničar Pančevo | Super Liga |
| Mar 17, 2025 | Novi Pazar 3-1 Železničar Pančevo | Super Liga |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Železničar Pančevo 0-1 Novi Pazar | Super Liga |
| May 18, 2024 | Železničar Pančevo 3-1 Novi Pazar | Super Liga |
Last archived meeting: Novi Pazar vs Železničar Pančevo on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Novi Pazar score 1.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Železničar Pančevo score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novi Pazar | 1.0 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Železničar Pančevo | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Novi Pazar sit 9th in Super Liga (7 points from 6 matches) and Železničar Pančevo sit 11th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Novi Pazar | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
| 11 | Železničar Pančevo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Novi Pazar vs Železničar Pančevo?
- The Footlab model makes Novi Pazar the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Železničar Pančevo.
- Where and when is Novi Pazar vs Železničar Pančevo played?
- Novi Pazar vs Železničar Pančevo is played on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Caizcoin Arena, in the Super Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.