OFK Beograd vs IMT Novi Beograd: prediction and stats
Super LigaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Omladinski Stadion, Beograd
The Footlab model makes IMT Novi Beograd the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for OFK Beograd. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win OFK Beograd vs IMT Novi Beograd?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate OFK Beograd (1,723) and IMT Novi Beograd (1,685).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, OFK Beograd have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; IMT Novi Beograd have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zemun(home) | 1-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cukaricki(away) | 0-2 | Super Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Železničar Pančevo(home) | 2-2 | Super Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Novi Pazar(away) | 4-1 | Super Liga |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Gaziantep FK(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Radnicki 1923(away) | 1-2 | Super Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Radnicki NIS(home) | 0-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Macva(away) | 0-1 | Super Liga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Gaziantep FK(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FK Partizan(away) | 2-1 | Super Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 OFK Beograd win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 IMT Novi Beograd win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | OFK Beograd 3-3 IMT Novi Beograd | Super Liga |
| Oct 25, 2025 | IMT Novi Beograd 1-1 OFK Beograd | Super Liga |
| Feb 26, 2025 | IMT Novi Beograd 1-1 OFK Beograd | Super Liga |
| Sep 28, 2024 | OFK Beograd 4-3 IMT Novi Beograd | Super Liga |
| Oct 19, 2019 | IMT Novi Beograd 2-0 OFK Beograd | Srpska Liga - Belgrade |
Last archived meeting: OFK Beograd vs IMT Novi Beograd on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
OFK Beograd score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; IMT Novi Beograd score 1.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OFK Beograd | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| IMT Novi Beograd | 1.1 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
OFK Beograd sit 8th in Super Liga (8 points from 6 matches) and IMT Novi Beograd sit 3rd (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | IMT Novi Beograd | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | OFK Beograd | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for OFK Beograd vs IMT Novi Beograd?
- The Footlab model makes IMT Novi Beograd the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for OFK Beograd.
- Where and when is OFK Beograd vs IMT Novi Beograd played?
- OFK Beograd vs IMT Novi Beograd is played on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Omladinski Stadion, in the Super Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.