Novo Esporte Clube vs Inter de Minas: prediction and stats
Mineiro - 3Regular Season - 1Kick-off on September 18, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estádio João Lamego Neto, Ipatinga, Minas Gerais
The Footlab model makes Novo Esporte Clube the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Inter de Minas. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Novo Esporte Clube vs Inter de Minas?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Novo Esporte Clube (1,633) and Inter de Minas (1,622).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, Novo Esporte Clube have 5 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Inter de Minas have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | Paracatu(away) | 0-0 | Mineiro - 3 |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Coimbra(home) | 0-2 | Mineiro - 3 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | BOA(away) | 0-3 | Mineiro - 3 |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Essube(home) | 2-0 | Mineiro - 3 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Tupi(away) | 3-0 | Mineiro - 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | Novo Esporte Clube(away) | 1-2 | Mineiro - 3 |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Tupi(home) | 1-3 | Mineiro - 3 |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Boston City FC Brasil(home) | 3-0 | Mineiro - 3 |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Uniao Luziense(away) | 0-0 | Mineiro - 3 |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Coimbra(away) | 2-0 | Mineiro - 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Novo Esporte Clube win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Inter de Minas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | Novo Esporte Clube 2-1 Inter de Minas | Mineiro - 3 |
Last archived meeting: Novo Esporte Clube vs Inter de Minas on Oct 11, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Novo Esporte Clube score 1.2 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 11; Inter de Minas score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novo Esporte Clube | 1.2 | 0.8 | 7 | 2/11 | 5/11 |
| Inter de Minas | 1.8 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Novo Esporte Clube vs Inter de Minas?
- The Footlab model makes Novo Esporte Clube the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Inter de Minas.
- Where and when is Novo Esporte Clube vs Inter de Minas played?
- Novo Esporte Clube vs Inter de Minas is played on September 18, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio João Lamego Neto, in the Mineiro - 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.