Novo Esporte Clube vs Venda Nova: prediction and stats
Mineiro - 3Regular Season - 3Kick-off on October 2, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estádio João Lamego Neto, Ipatinga, Minas Gerais
The Footlab model makes Novo Esporte Clube the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Venda Nova. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Novo Esporte Clube vs Venda Nova?
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, Novo Esporte Clube have 5 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Venda Nova have 0, 0 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | Paracatu(away) | 0-0 | Mineiro - 3 |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Coimbra(home) | 0-2 | Mineiro - 3 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | BOA(away) | 0-3 | Mineiro - 3 |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Essube(home) | 2-0 | Mineiro - 3 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Tupi(away) | 3-0 | Mineiro - 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Novo Esporte Clube vs Venda Nova?
- The Footlab model makes Novo Esporte Clube the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Venda Nova.
- Where and when is Novo Esporte Clube vs Venda Nova played?
- Novo Esporte Clube vs Venda Nova is played on October 2, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio João Lamego Neto, in the Mineiro - 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.