Novohrad Lučenec vs Fomat Martin: prediction and stats
3. liga - CenterCentral - 22Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Mestský štadión, Lučenec
The Footlab model makes Novohrad Lučenec the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Fomat Martin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Novohrad Lučenec vs Fomat Martin?
Fomat Martin starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,613 vs 1,509).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Novohrad Lučenec have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Fomat Martin have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Čadca(home) | 3-1 | 3. liga - Center |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Fiľakovo(away) | 0-1 | 3. liga - Center |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rimavská Sobota(home) | 1-2 | 3. liga - Center |
| May 30, 2026 | Fiľakovo(away) | 1-3 | 3. liga - Center |
| May 23, 2026 | Námestovo(home) | 1-1 | 3. liga - Center |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rimavská Sobota(home) | 5-1 | 3. liga - Center |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Spartak Kvašov(away) | 5-2 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dolný Kubín(away) | 3-2 | 3. liga - Center |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kysucké Nové Mesto(home) | 7-3 | 3. liga - Center |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Baník Prievidza(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Novohrad Lučenec win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Fomat Martin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Novohrad Lučenec 1-1 Fomat Martin | 3. liga - Center |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Fomat Martin 3-2 Novohrad Lučenec | 3. liga - Center |
| May 28, 2022 | Novohrad Lučenec 2-1 Fomat Martin | 3. liga - Center |
| Oct 2, 2021 | Fomat Martin 4-0 Novohrad Lučenec | 3. liga - Center |
| Aug 1, 2020 | Fomat Martin 4-2 Novohrad Lučenec | 3. liga - Center |
Last archived meeting: Novohrad Lučenec vs Fomat Martin on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Novohrad Lučenec score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Fomat Martin score 2.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novohrad Lučenec | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Fomat Martin | 2.9 | 1.6 | 4 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Novohrad Lučenec sit 4th in 3. liga - Center (43 points from 26 matches) and Fomat Martin sit 6th (40 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Novohrad Lučenec | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 43 |
| 6 | Fomat Martin | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Novohrad Lučenec vs Fomat Martin?
- The Footlab model makes Novohrad Lučenec the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Fomat Martin.
- Where and when is Novohrad Lučenec vs Fomat Martin played?
- Novohrad Lučenec vs Fomat Martin is played on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Mestský štadión, in the 3. liga - Center.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.