Nový Jičín vs Bílovec: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie FDivision F - 8Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadion TJ Nový Jičín, Nový Jičín
The Footlab model makes Bílovec the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Nový Jičín. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nový Jičín vs Bílovec?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Nový Jičín (1,541) and Bílovec (1,640).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nový Jičín have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Bílovec have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Opava II(home) | 2-5 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Frýdlant(away) | 1-0 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stonava(home) | 2-2 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Belotin(away) | 0-4 | Cup |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Zabreh(away) | 2-7 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bospor Bohumín(home) | 0-5 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Zabreh(away) | 1-2 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Opava II(home) | 1-1 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Vítkovice(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Cesky Tesin(away) | 3-0 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Nový Jičín win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Bílovec win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Bílovec 2-2 Nový Jičín | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Nový Jičín 0-1 Bílovec | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| May 31, 2025 | Nový Jičín 2-0 Bílovec | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Bílovec 2-0 Nový Jičín | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Mar 26, 2023 | Bílovec 1-1 Nový Jičín | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Aug 13, 2022 | Nový Jičín 3-2 Bílovec | 4. liga - Divizie F |
Last archived meeting: Bílovec vs Nový Jičín on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nový Jičín score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bílovec score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nový Jičín | 1.2 | 1.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Bílovec | 1.4 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nový Jičín sit 5th in 4. liga - Divizie F (4 points from 2 matches) and Bílovec sit 12th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nový Jičín | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 10 | Nový Jičín | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| 12 | Bílovec | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 13 | Bílovec | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nový Jičín vs Bílovec?
- The Footlab model makes Bílovec the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Nový Jičín.
- Where and when is Nový Jičín vs Bílovec played?
- Nový Jičín vs Bílovec is played on September 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion TJ Nový Jičín, in the 4. liga - Divizie F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.