Nový Jičín vs Kravare: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie FDivision F - 11Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Stadion TJ Nový Jičín, Nový Jičín
The Footlab model makes Kravare the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Nový Jičín. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nový Jičín vs Kravare?
Kravare starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,659 vs 1,541).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nový Jičín have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Kravare have 3, 0 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Opava II(home) | 2-5 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Frýdlant(away) | 1-0 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stonava(home) | 2-2 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Belotin(away) | 0-4 | Cup |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Zabreh(away) | 2-7 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Frýdlant(home) | 7-2 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stonava(away) | 2-1 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Valašské Meziříčí(home) | 3-1 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Bospor Bohumín(home) | 1-6 | Cup |
| Jul 22, 2023 | Hlučín(home) | 2-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Nový Jičín score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Kravare score 3.0 and concede 3.2. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nový Jičín | 1.2 | 1.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Kravare | 3.0 | 3.2 | 0 | 5/5 | 5/5 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nový Jičín sit 5th in 4. liga - Divizie F (4 points from 2 matches) and Kravare sit 2nd (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kravare | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Kravare | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Nový Jičín | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 10 | Nový Jičín | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nový Jičín vs Kravare?
- The Footlab model makes Kravare the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Nový Jičín.
- Where and when is Nový Jičín vs Kravare played?
- Nový Jičín vs Kravare is played on October 11, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion TJ Nový Jičín, in the 4. liga - Divizie F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.