Pustá Polom vs Šumperk: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie FDivision F - 11Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Stadión Pustá Polom, Pustá Polom
The Footlab model makes Pustá Polom the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Šumperk. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pustá Polom vs Šumperk?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Pustá Polom (1,525) and Šumperk (1,556).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pustá Polom have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Šumperk have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Zabreh(home) | 2-2 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Opava II(away) | 1-3 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Frýdlant(home) | 3-0 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Jiskra Rýmařov(away) | 3-2 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Cesky Tesin(home) | 3-2 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Stonava(home) | 0-3 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Valašské Meziříčí(away) | 1-1 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Frydek-Mistek B(home) | 2-1 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Nové Sady(away) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Vratimov(away) | 0-2 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Pustá Polom win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Šumperk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Pustá Polom 0-1 Šumperk | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Šumperk 3-0 Pustá Polom | 4. liga - Divizie F |
Last archived meeting: Pustá Polom vs Šumperk on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pustá Polom score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Šumperk score 0.9 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pustá Polom | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Šumperk | 0.9 | 2.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pustá Polom sit 7th in 4. liga - Divizie F (3 points from 2 matches) and Šumperk sit 6th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Šumperk | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Pustá Polom | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 9 | Pustá Polom | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 11 | Šumperk | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pustá Polom vs Šumperk?
- The Footlab model makes Pustá Polom the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Šumperk.
- Where and when is Pustá Polom vs Šumperk played?
- Pustá Polom vs Šumperk is played on October 11, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Stadión Pustá Polom, in the 4. liga - Divizie F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.