Numancia vs Lugo: result 3-1 and analysis
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 26, 2019 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos, Soria
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What was the result of Numancia vs Lugo?
Numancia won 3-1 on October 26, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 13′Álex SolaLugo (o.g.)
- 25′Curro SánchezNumancia
- 49′Curro SánchezNumancia (pen.)
- 81′Guillermo FernándezNumancia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Numancia have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Lugo have 2, 10 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2019 | Ponferradina(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 13, 2019 | Zaragoza(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 6, 2019 | Oviedo(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 1, 2019 | Fuenlabrada(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 28, 2019 | Racing Santander(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2019 | Huesca(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 12, 2019 | Almeria(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 5, 2019 | Las Palmas(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 2, 2019 | Mirandes(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 29, 2019 | Tenerife(home) | 1-4 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Numancia win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Lugo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2019 | Numancia 3-0 Lugo | Segunda División |
| Sep 1, 2018 | Lugo 3-2 Numancia | Segunda División |
| Apr 14, 2018 | Numancia 2-0 Lugo | Segunda División |
| Nov 12, 2017 | Lugo 0-1 Numancia | Segunda División |
| May 21, 2017 | Numancia 0-1 Lugo | Segunda División |
| Dec 11, 2016 | Lugo 3-1 Numancia | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Numancia score 0.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Lugo score 0.9 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Numancia | 0.9 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 2/15 |
| Lugo | 0.9 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy