Nykobing FC vs VSK Århus: prediction and stats
2. DivisionRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Lollands Bank Park, Nykøbing Falster
The Footlab model makes Nykobing FC the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for VSK Århus. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nykobing FC vs VSK Århus?
Nykobing FC starts as the favourite with a 136-point Elo edge (1,900 vs 1,765).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nykobing FC have 12 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; VSK Århus have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Middelfart(away) | 3-2 | 2. Division |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Naestved(home) | 1-1 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 14, 2026 | B 93(home) | 4-0 | 2. Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Skive(away) | 3-2 | 2. Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | B 93(home) | 2-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Naestved(away) | 2-0 | 2. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Thisted FC(home) | 3-1 | 2. Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fremad Amager(home) | 3-0 | 2. Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | tst Fodbold(away) | 6-1 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | HIK(away) | 2-0 | 2. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Nykobing FC score 2.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; VSK Århus score 1.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nykobing FC | 2.8 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| VSK Århus | 1.8 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nykobing FC sit 2nd in 2. Division (10 points from 4 matches) and VSK Århus sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VSK Århus | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 12 |
| 2 | Nykobing FC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nykobing FC vs VSK Århus?
- The Footlab model makes Nykobing FC the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for VSK Århus.
- Where and when is Nykobing FC vs VSK Århus played?
- Nykobing FC vs VSK Århus is played on October 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Lollands Bank Park, in the 2. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.