HIK vs Thisted FC: prediction and stats
2. DivisionRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Gentofte Sportspark Vest, Gentofte
The Footlab model makes Thisted FC the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for HIK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win HIK vs Thisted FC?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate HIK (1,596) and Thisted FC (1,689).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, HIK have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Thisted FC have 6, 0 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | B 93(away) | 0-3 | 2. Division |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FA 2000(home) | 2-1 | 2. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Naestved(away) | 1-1 | 2. Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Rudersdal(away) | 5-1 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | VSK Århus(home) | 0-2 | 2. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Skive(home) | 0-1 | 2. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | VSK Århus(away) | 1-3 | 2. Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FA 2000(home) | 0-1 | 2. Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Aabybro(away) | 9-1 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Middelfart(away) | 1-4 | 2. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 HIK win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Thisted FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | HIK 0-2 Thisted FC | 2. Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Thisted FC 4-0 HIK | 2. Division |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Thisted FC 3-0 HIK | 2. Division |
| Sep 6, 2025 | HIK 1-1 Thisted FC | 2. Division |
| May 31, 2025 | HIK 0-2 Thisted FC | 2. Division |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Thisted FC 1-1 HIK | 2. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
HIK score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Thisted FC score 1.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HIK | 1.5 | 2.3 | 0 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Thisted FC | 1.6 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
HIK sit 9th in 2. Division (4 points from 4 matches) and Thisted FC sit 12th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | HIK | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 4 |
| 12 | Thisted FC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for HIK vs Thisted FC?
- The Footlab model makes Thisted FC the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for HIK.
- Where and when is HIK vs Thisted FC played?
- HIK vs Thisted FC is played on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Gentofte Sportspark Vest, in the 2. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.