Nyva Ternopil II vs Podillya Khmelnytskyi: prediction and stats
Druha LigaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadioni Im. Leva Brovarsʹkoho, Sambir
The Footlab model makes Nyva Ternopil II the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Podillya Khmelnytskyi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nyva Ternopil II vs Podillya Khmelnytskyi?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Nyva Ternopil II (1,477) and Podillya Khmelnytskyi (1,496).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nyva Ternopil II have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Podillya Khmelnytskyi have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bratslav Vinnytsia(away) | 0-4 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dnister Zalishchyky(home) | 1-0 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Vilkhivtsi(away) | 3-2 | Druha Liga |
| May 24, 2026 | Vilkhivtsi(away) | 0-5 | Druha Liga |
| May 16, 2026 | Uzhhorod(home) | 1-3 | Druha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka(home) | 1-3 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nyva Vinnytsya(home) | 2-1 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bratslav Vinnytsia(away) | 2-3 | Druha Liga |
| May 30, 2026 | Vorskla Poltava(away) | 1-1 | Persha Liga |
| May 23, 2026 | Yarud Mariupol'(home) | 0-0 | Persha Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Nyva Ternopil II score 1.1 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Podillya Khmelnytskyi score 0.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nyva Ternopil II | 1.1 | 2.2 | 4 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Podillya Khmelnytskyi | 0.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nyva Ternopil II sit 2nd in Druha Liga (6 points from 3 matches) and Podillya Khmelnytskyi sit 6th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Nyva Ternopil II | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| 6 | Podillya Khmelnytskyi | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nyva Ternopil II vs Podillya Khmelnytskyi?
- The Footlab model makes Nyva Ternopil II the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Podillya Khmelnytskyi.
- Where and when is Nyva Ternopil II vs Podillya Khmelnytskyi played?
- Nyva Ternopil II vs Podillya Khmelnytskyi is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadioni Im. Leva Brovarsʹkoho, in the Druha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.