Nyva Vinnytsya vs Dnister Zalishchyky: prediction and stats
Druha LigaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)NTB Nyva Pole 1, Vinnytsia
The Footlab model makes Nyva Vinnytsya the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Dnister Zalishchyky. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nyva Vinnytsya vs Dnister Zalishchyky?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Nyva Vinnytsya (1,561) and Dnister Zalishchyky (1,552).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nyva Vinnytsya have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Dnister Zalishchyky have 1, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ruh Lviv(home) | 2-2 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vilkhivtsi(home) | 2-2 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Podillya Khmelnytskyi(away) | 1-2 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ruh Lviv(home) | 2-1 | Druha Liga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Chornomorets(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Livyi Bereh(home) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Skala 1911 Stryi(home) | 3-1 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Nyva Ternopil II(away) | 0-1 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Dinaz Vyshhorod(away) | 3-3 | Druha Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Nyva Vinnytsya score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Dnister Zalishchyky score 1.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nyva Vinnytsya | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Dnister Zalishchyky | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0 | 2/4 | 3/4 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nyva Vinnytsya sit 4th in Druha Liga (4 points from 3 matches) and Dnister Zalishchyky sit 3rd (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Dnister Zalishchyky | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 4 | Nyva Vinnytsya | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nyva Vinnytsya vs Dnister Zalishchyky?
- The Footlab model makes Nyva Vinnytsya the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Dnister Zalishchyky.
- Where and when is Nyva Vinnytsya vs Dnister Zalishchyky played?
- Nyva Vinnytsya vs Dnister Zalishchyky is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at NTB Nyva Pole 1, in the Druha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.