Oakland Roots vs San Antonio: prediction and stats
USL ChampionshipGroup StageKick-off on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 AM (UTC)Pioneer Stadium, Hayward, California
The Footlab model makes San Antonio the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Oakland Roots. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oakland Roots vs San Antonio?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Oakland Roots (1,642) and San Antonio (1,740).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oakland Roots have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; San Antonio have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | San Antonio(away) | 1-0 | USL Championship |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Monterey Bay(home) | 1-1 | USL Championship |
| Aug 9, 2026 | El Paso Locomotive(away) | 0-1 | USL Championship |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Las Vegas Lights(away) | 0-0 | USL Championship |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds(home) | 0-1 | USL Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Oakland Roots(home) | 0-1 | USL Championship |
| Aug 16, 2026 | El Paso Locomotive(home) | 0-3 | USL Championship |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Miami FC(home) | 2-1 | USL League One Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Louisville City(away) | 1-1 | USL Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Indy Eleven(home) | 3-1 | USL Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Oakland Roots win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 San Antonio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | San Antonio 0-1 Oakland Roots | USL Championship |
| May 11, 2025 | San Antonio 1-2 Oakland Roots | USL Championship |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Oakland Roots 1-2 San Antonio | USL Championship |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Oakland Roots 0-1 San Antonio | USL Championship |
| May 5, 2024 | San Antonio 2-2 Oakland Roots | USL Championship |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Oakland Roots 2-2 San Antonio | USL Championship |
Last archived meeting: San Antonio vs Oakland Roots on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Oakland Roots score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; San Antonio score 1.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oakland Roots | 0.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| San Antonio | 1.4 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oakland Roots sit 4th in USL Championship (18 points from 13 matches) and San Antonio sit 1st (21 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Antonio | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 16 | 21 |
| 4 | Oakland Roots | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 17 | 18 |
| 5 | San Antonio | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 26 | 25 | 32 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 30 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oakland Roots vs San Antonio?
- The Footlab model makes San Antonio the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Oakland Roots.
- Where and when is Oakland Roots vs San Antonio played?
- Oakland Roots vs San Antonio is played on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 AM (UTC) at Pioneer Stadium, in the USL Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 7, 2026Lexington1-2Louisville City
- Mar 7, 2026Charleston Battery2-1Pittsburgh Riverhounds
- Mar 8, 2026Sporting JAX0-3Hartford Athletic
- Mar 8, 2026Birmingham Legion0-1Tampa Bay Rowdies
- Mar 8, 2026San Antonio2-1Phoenix Rising
- Mar 8, 2026El Paso Locomotive2-2Colorado Springs
- Mar 8, 2026Sacramento Republic2-0FC Tulsa
- Mar 8, 2026Monterey Bay0-1Oakland Roots