Oberwart vs SV Horn: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - OstOst - 10Kick-off on October 2, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Informstadion, Oberwart
The Footlab model makes Oberwart the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for SV Horn. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oberwart vs SV Horn?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Oberwart (1,725) and SV Horn (1,692).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oberwart have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; SV Horn have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Wienerberg(home) | 5-2 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Fach-Donaufeld(away) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Scheiblingkirchen(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wiener Viktoria(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg(home) | 1-7 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Donau(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Leobendorf(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Wienerberg(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Fach-Donaufeld(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Floridsdorfer AC(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Oberwart win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 SV Horn win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | SV Horn 1-0 Oberwart | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Oberwart 3-1 SV Horn | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Mar 11, 2016 | Oberwart 1-0 SV Horn | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 14, 2015 | SV Horn 8-1 Oberwart | Regionalliga - Ost |
How many goals should we expect?
Oberwart score 2.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; SV Horn score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oberwart | 2.8 | 1.7 | 5 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| SV Horn | 1.3 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oberwart sit 3rd in Regionalliga - Ost (9 points from 4 matches) and SV Horn sit 9th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Oberwart | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 9 |
| 8 | SV Horn | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | SV Horn | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
| 9 | Oberwart | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oberwart vs SV Horn?
- The Footlab model makes Oberwart the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for SV Horn.
- Where and when is Oberwart vs SV Horn played?
- Oberwart vs SV Horn is played on October 2, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Informstadion, in the Regionalliga - Ost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.