Wiener Viktoria vs Donau: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - OstOst - 10Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Sportplatz Wiener Viktoria, Wien
The Footlab model makes Wiener Viktoria the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for Donau. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wiener Viktoria vs Donau?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Wiener Viktoria (1,595) and Donau (1,547).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wiener Viktoria have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Donau have 1, 2 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Wiener SC(away) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mattersburg SV 2020(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Favoritner AC(away) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Oberwart(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Parndorf(home) | 1-3 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | SV Horn(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf(home) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Parndorf(away) | 1-6 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Krems / Rehberg(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Hellas Kagran(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Wiener Viktoria win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Donau win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Donau 0-2 Wiener Viktoria | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Wiener Viktoria 1-1 Donau | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Wiener Viktoria 2-1 Donau | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Donau vs Wiener Viktoria on May 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Wiener Viktoria score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Donau score 1.6 and concede 3.7. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wiener Viktoria | 1.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Donau | 1.6 | 3.7 | 1 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wiener Viktoria sit 11th in Regionalliga - Ost (3 points from 4 matches) and Donau sit 15th (2 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wiener Viktoria | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 13 | Donau | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
| 14 | Wiener Viktoria | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 | Donau | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wiener Viktoria vs Donau?
- The Footlab model makes Wiener Viktoria the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for Donau.
- Where and when is Wiener Viktoria vs Donau played?
- Wiener Viktoria vs Donau is played on October 3, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz Wiener Viktoria, in the Regionalliga - Ost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.