Odishi 1919 vs Gareji: prediction and stats
Erovnuli Liga 2Regular Season - 28Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Baias satsvrtneli Baza, Zugdidi
The Footlab model makes Odishi 1919 the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Gareji. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Odishi 1919 vs Gareji?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Odishi 1919 (1,466) and Gareji (1,551).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Odishi 1919 have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Gareji have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sioni(home) | 0-1 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Merani Martvili(away) | 0-0 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kolkheti Poti(home) | 2-1 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Torpedo Kutaisi(away) | 1-4 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Merani Martvili(away) | 2-1 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kolkheti Poti(home) | 3-2 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Aragvi Dusheti(home) | 0-2 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Telavi(away) | 0-0 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Gagra(home) | 1-4 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Basa(away) | 2-0 | David Kipiani Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Odishi 1919 win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Gareji win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 22, 2026 | Gareji 1-2 Odishi 1919 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| May 2, 2026 | Odishi 1919 1-1 Gareji | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Gareji 1-1 Odishi 1919 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
Last archived meeting: Gareji vs Odishi 1919 on Jun 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Odishi 1919 score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Gareji score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odishi 1919 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Gareji | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Odishi 1919 sit 7th in Erovnuli Liga 2 (28 points from 22 matches) and Gareji sit 1st (43 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gareji | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 43 |
| 7 | Odishi 1919 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 28 | 28 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Odishi 1919 vs Gareji?
- The Footlab model makes Odishi 1919 the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Gareji.
- Where and when is Odishi 1919 vs Gareji played?
- Odishi 1919 vs Gareji is played on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Baias satsvrtneli Baza, in the Erovnuli Liga 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.