Match

Sioni vs Gareji: prediction and stats

Erovnuli Liga 2Regular Season - 33Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Stadioni Tamaz Stepania, Bolnisi

SioniGareji

The Footlab AI model makes Sioni the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Gareji. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sioni wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sioni vs Gareji?

A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Sioni (1,434) and Gareji (1,521).

49%27%24%
Sioni winDrawGareji win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Sioni vs Gareji

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Sioni

4-3-3
  1. 39Kevin
  2. 9Giorgi Iakobidze
  3. 30Z. Tsitskishvili
  1. 14Léo Silva
  2. 8Z. Sitchinava
  3. 13G. Kakulia
  1. 16G. Ubilava
  2. 25V. Kilasonia
  3. 6Adam Huskic
  4. 3T. Dundua
  1. 1B. Kurdadze

Gareji

4-3-3
  1. 17L. Kalandadze
  2. 29B. Gugberidze
  3. 14I. Tchikaidze
  1. 4L. Tolordava
  2. 10T. Babunadze
  3. 11D. Aidarashvili
  1. 26Z. Eradze
  2. 24G. Samadashvili
  3. 15T. Kapanadze
  4. 5G. Nikolaishvili
  1. 12G. Bediashvili

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 07:44 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sioni have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Gareji have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sioni
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Samtredia(away)0-3Erovnuli Liga 2
Sep 20, 2026Aragvi Dusheti(home)1-2Erovnuli Liga 2
Sep 16, 2026Merani Martvili(away)1-2Erovnuli Liga 2
Sep 12, 2026Kolkheti Poti(home)1-1Erovnuli Liga 2
Sep 6, 2026Gareji(away)3-3Erovnuli Liga 2
Gareji
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Odishi 1919(away)0-1Erovnuli Liga 2
Sep 20, 2026Shturmi(away)0-1Erovnuli Liga 2
Sep 16, 2026Gori(home)2-1Erovnuli Liga 2
Sep 12, 2026Samtredia(away)1-6Erovnuli Liga 2
Sep 6, 2026Sioni(home)3-3Erovnuli Liga 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sioni win, 3 draws, 2 Gareji wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 6, 2026Gareji 3-3 SioniErovnuli Liga 2
May 24, 2026Sioni 1-1 GarejiErovnuli Liga 2
Apr 7, 2026Gareji 2-0 SioniErovnuli Liga 2
Nov 22, 2024Sioni 2-2 GarejiErovnuli Liga 2
Sep 14, 2024Gareji 3-0 SioniErovnuli Liga 2
May 28, 2024Sioni 2-0 GarejiErovnuli Liga 2

Last archived meeting: Gareji vs Sioni on Sep 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sioni score 1.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Gareji score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sioni1.21.639/158/15
Gareji1.41.739/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sioni sit 8th in Erovnuli Liga 2 (33 points from 28 matches) and Gareji sit 1st (50 points from 28 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Gareji281486352950
8Sioni288911353733

A question about Sioni vs Gareji?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sioni vs Gareji?
The Footlab AI model makes Sioni the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Gareji.
Where and when is Sioni vs Gareji played?
Sioni vs Gareji is played on November 21, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Stadioni Tamaz Stepania, in the Erovnuli Liga 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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