Sioni vs Gareji: prediction and stats
Erovnuli Liga 2Regular Season - 33Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Stadioni Tamaz Stepania, Bolnisi
The Footlab AI model makes Sioni the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Gareji. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sioni wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,461 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sioni vs Gareji?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Sioni (1,434) and Gareji (1,521).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sioni vs Gareji
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sioni
4-3-3- 39Kevin
- 9Giorgi Iakobidze
- 30Z. Tsitskishvili
- 14Léo Silva
- 8Z. Sitchinava
- 13G. Kakulia
- 16G. Ubilava
- 25V. Kilasonia
- 6Adam Huskic
- 3T. Dundua
- 1B. Kurdadze
Gareji
4-3-3- 17L. Kalandadze
- 29B. Gugberidze
- 14I. Tchikaidze
- 4L. Tolordava
- 10T. Babunadze
- 11D. Aidarashvili
- 26Z. Eradze
- 24G. Samadashvili
- 15T. Kapanadze
- 5G. Nikolaishvili
- 12G. Bediashvili
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 07:44 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sioni have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Gareji have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Samtredia(away) | 0-3 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Aragvi Dusheti(home) | 1-2 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Merani Martvili(away) | 1-2 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Kolkheti Poti(home) | 1-1 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Gareji(away) | 3-3 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Odishi 1919(away) | 0-1 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Shturmi(away) | 0-1 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Gori(home) | 2-1 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Samtredia(away) | 1-6 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Sioni(home) | 3-3 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sioni win, 3 draws, 2 Gareji wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Gareji 3-3 Sioni | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| May 24, 2026 | Sioni 1-1 Gareji | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Gareji 2-0 Sioni | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Nov 22, 2024 | Sioni 2-2 Gareji | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Gareji 3-0 Sioni | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| May 28, 2024 | Sioni 2-0 Gareji | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Sioni score 1.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Gareji score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sioni | 1.2 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Gareji | 1.4 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sioni sit 8th in Erovnuli Liga 2 (33 points from 28 matches) and Gareji sit 1st (50 points from 28 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gareji | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 35 | 29 | 50 |
| 8 | Sioni | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 35 | 37 | 33 |
A question about Sioni vs Gareji?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sioni vs Gareji?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sioni the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Gareji.
- Where and when is Sioni vs Gareji played?
- Sioni vs Gareji is played on November 21, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Stadioni Tamaz Stepania, in the Erovnuli Liga 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.