OFI vs Apollon Smirnis: result 1-0 and analysis
Cup16th FinalsKick-off on November 28, 2012 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Thódoros Vardinoyánnis, Heraklion
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What was the result of OFI vs Apollon Smirnis?
OFI won 1-0 on November 28, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 60′A. PapazoglouOFI (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, OFI have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Apollon Smirnis have 7, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2012 | PAS Giannina(away) | 0-1 | Super League 1 |
| Nov 18, 2012 | Levadiakos(home) | 0-2 | Super League 1 |
| Nov 10, 2012 | Veria(home) | 2-0 | Super League 1 |
| Nov 3, 2012 | Olympiakos Piraeus(away) | 0-2 | Super League 1 |
| Oct 29, 2012 | Panathinaikos(home) | 2-2 | Super League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2012 | Vyzas(away) | 1-0 | Football League |
| Nov 21, 2012 | Kavala(home) | 1-0 | Football League |
| Nov 18, 2012 | AEL Kallonis(away) | 2-0 | Football League |
| Nov 12, 2012 | Iraklis(home) | 1-1 | Football League |
| Nov 4, 2012 | Pierikos(away) | 1-0 | Football League |
How many goals should we expect?
OFI score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Apollon Smirnis score 1.2 and concede 0.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OFI | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Apollon Smirnis | 1.2 | 0.6 | 7 | 4/13 | 1/13 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy