OFI vs PAOK: prediction and stats
Super League 1Regular Season - 8Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Thódoros Vardinoyánnis, Heraklion
The Footlab model makes PAOK the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for OFI. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win OFI vs PAOK?
PAOK starts as the favourite with a 187-point Elo edge (2,071 vs 1,884).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, OFI have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; PAOK have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Volos NFC(home) | 2-0 | Super League 1 |
| Aug 20, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 12, 2026 | AEK Athens FC(away) | 2-2 | Super Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Willem II(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | NAC Breda(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Levadiakos(home) | 4-0 | Super League 1 |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Brann(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Anderlecht(away) | 2-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Anderlecht(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Dynamo Kyiv(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 OFI win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 PAOK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | PAOK 2-3 OFI | Cup |
| Jan 18, 2026 | PAOK 3-0 OFI | Super League 1 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | OFI 1-2 PAOK | Super League 1 |
| Feb 8, 2025 | OFI 0-5 PAOK | Super League 1 |
| Oct 27, 2024 | PAOK 1-2 OFI | Super League 1 |
| Jan 3, 2024 | PAOK 4-0 OFI | Super League 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
OFI score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; PAOK score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OFI | 1.6 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| PAOK | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
OFI sit 4th in Super League 1 (3 points from 1 matches) and PAOK sit 2nd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | PAOK | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | OFI | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for OFI vs PAOK?
- The Footlab model makes PAOK the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for OFI.
- Where and when is OFI vs PAOK played?
- OFI vs PAOK is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Thódoros Vardinoyánnis, in the Super League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.