Olympiakos Piraeus vs Kalamata: prediction and stats
Super League 1Regular Season - 8Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki, Piraeus
The Footlab model makes Olympiakos Piraeus the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Kalamata. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Olympiakos Piraeus vs Kalamata?
Olympiakos Piraeus starts as the favourite with a 190-point Elo edge (2,098 vs 1,908).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olympiakos Piraeus have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Kalamata have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Atromitos(home) | 1-0 | Super League 1 |
| Aug 11, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Antwerp(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Aris Thessalonikis(home) | 2-3 | Super League 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Panetolikos(home) | 4-2 | Cup |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Volos NFC(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Iraklis 1908(home) | 1-0 | Super League 2 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Marko(away) | 0-0 | Super League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Olympiakos Piraeus win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Kalamata win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2020 | Olympiakos Piraeus 4-1 Kalamata | Cup |
| Jan 8, 2020 | Kalamata 0-2 Olympiakos Piraeus | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Olympiakos Piraeus vs Kalamata on Jan 15, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
Olympiakos Piraeus score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Kalamata score 1.7 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiakos Piraeus | 0.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Kalamata | 1.7 | 0.5 | 11 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Olympiakos Piraeus sit 6th in Super League 1 (3 points from 1 matches) and Kalamata sit 9th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Kalamata | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Olympiakos Piraeus vs Kalamata?
- The Footlab model makes Olympiakos Piraeus the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Kalamata.
- Where and when is Olympiakos Piraeus vs Kalamata played?
- Olympiakos Piraeus vs Kalamata is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki, in the Super League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.