Olympiakos Piraeus vs Kalamata: prediction and stats
Super League 1Regular Season - 8Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki, Piraeus
The Footlab AI model makes Olympiakos Piraeus the favourite at 69%, against 20% for a draw and 11% for Kalamata. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Olympiakos Piraeus vs Kalamata?
Olympiakos Piraeus starts as the favourite with a 214-point Elo edge (2,184 vs 1,970).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Olympiakos Piraeus vs Kalamata
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Olympiakos Piraeus
4-2-3-1- 11R. Yaremchuk
- 20Jota Silva
- 22Chiquinho
- 19R. Freuler
- 7K. Fortounis
- 15G. Puerta
- 45P. Retsos
- 71N. Tiknizyan
- 27M. Pedersen
- 6David Carmo
- 1S. Ortega
Kalamata
5-3-2- 20A. Mendes Moreira
- 9J. Bolívar
- 24E. Hamza
- 23G. Piñeiro
- 32J. Bonetto
- 17Julio Alonso
- 97Rodrigues
- 4S. Stroungis
- 22P. Kaloutsikidis
- 19M. J. Bakayoko
- 1I. Gelios
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olympiakos Piraeus have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Kalamata have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Levadiakos(away) | 1-0 | Super League 1 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Jagiellonia(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | OFI(home) | 0-1 | Super League 1 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Volos NFC(home) | 3-2 | Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Volos NFC(away) | 1-1 | Super League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Panathinaikos(home) | 0-1 | Super League 1 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Larisa(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Volos NFC(home) | 3-1 | Super League 1 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Atromitos(away) | 1-1 | Super League 1 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Volos NFC(away) | 2-2 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Olympiakos Piraeus wins, 0 draws, 0 Kalamata wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2020 | Olympiakos Piraeus 4-1 Kalamata | Cup |
| Jan 8, 2020 | Kalamata 0-2 Olympiakos Piraeus | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Olympiakos Piraeus vs Kalamata on Jan 15, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
Olympiakos Piraeus score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kalamata score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiakos Piraeus | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Kalamata | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Olympiakos Piraeus sit 5th in Super League 1 (10 points from 5 matches) and Kalamata sit 10th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 |
| 10 | Kalamata | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 4 |
A question about Olympiakos Piraeus vs Kalamata?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Olympiakos Piraeus vs Kalamata?
- The Footlab AI model makes Olympiakos Piraeus the favourite at 69%, against 20% for a draw and 11% for Kalamata.
- Where and when is Olympiakos Piraeus vs Kalamata played?
- Olympiakos Piraeus vs Kalamata is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki, in the Super League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.