Match

Okwawu vs True Democracy: prediction and stats

Division One LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)

OkwawuTrue Democracy

The Footlab model makes Okwawu the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for True Democracy. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Okwawu vs True Democracy?

A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Okwawu (1,464) and True Democracy (1,500).

Okwawu win44 %
Draw27 %
True Democracy win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Okwawu have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; True Democracy have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Okwawu
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 16, 2026Home Stars(away)1-0Division One League
May 9, 2026Koforidua(away)0-1Division One League
May 3, 2026Great Olympics(home)2-1Division One League
Apr 25, 2026Attram de Visser(away)1-2Division One League
Apr 12, 2026Golden Warriors(home)1-1Division One League
True Democracy
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 15, 2026Attram de Visser(away)1-2Division One League
May 9, 2026Port City(home)1-0Division One League
May 2, 2026Na God(away)0-1Division One League
Apr 26, 2026Hakla SC(home)3-2Division One League
Apr 12, 2026Inter Allies(away)1-2Division One League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Okwawu win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 True Democracy win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 2, 2026Okwawu 1-3 True DemocracyDivision One League
Oct 10, 2025True Democracy 2-1 OkwawuDivision One League

Last archived meeting: Okwawu vs True Democracy on Feb 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Okwawu score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; True Democracy score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Okwawu1.31.8111/159/15
True Democracy1.11.127/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Okwawu sit 2nd in Division One League (3 points from 1 matches) and True Democracy sit 11th (1 points from 1 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Okwawu1100103
11True Democracy1010111

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Okwawu vs True Democracy?
The Footlab model makes Okwawu the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for True Democracy.
Where and when is Okwawu vs True Democracy played?
Okwawu vs True Democracy is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Division One League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Okwawu and True Democracy

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