Oldenburger SV vs Kilia Kiel: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Schleswig-HolsteinSchleswig-Holstein - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Hans-Peter-Storm-Stadion, Oldenburg in Holstein
The Footlab model makes Kilia Kiel the favourite at 62%, against 18% for a draw and 20% for Oldenburger SV. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oldenburger SV vs Kilia Kiel?
Kilia Kiel starts as the favourite with a 238-point Elo edge (1,927 vs 1,689).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oldenburger SV have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Kilia Kiel have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Union Neumünster(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nordmark Satrup(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Rotenhof(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Lübeck II(home) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | TSB Flensburg(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rotenhof(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 16, 2026 | TSB Flensburg(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hohenwestedt(home) | 5-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | VfR Neumünster(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kaltenkirchen(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Oldenburger SV win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Kilia Kiel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Oldenburger SV 1-6 Kilia Kiel | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Kilia Kiel 4-2 Oldenburger SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Kilia Kiel 5-5 Oldenburger SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Oldenburger SV 3-6 Kilia Kiel | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Nov 12, 2022 | Oldenburger SV 1-0 Kilia Kiel | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 3, 2022 | Kilia Kiel 4-0 Oldenburger SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
Last archived meeting: Oldenburger SV vs Kilia Kiel on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Oldenburger SV score 1.9 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kilia Kiel score 3.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oldenburger SV | 1.9 | 2.7 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| Kilia Kiel | 3.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oldenburger SV sit 9th in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein (7 points from 5 matches) and Kilia Kiel sit 7th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Kilia Kiel | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 8 |
| 9 | Oldenburger SV | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oldenburger SV vs Kilia Kiel?
- The Footlab model makes Kilia Kiel the favourite at 62%, against 18% for a draw and 20% for Oldenburger SV.
- Where and when is Oldenburger SV vs Kilia Kiel played?
- Oldenburger SV vs Kilia Kiel is played on September 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Hans-Peter-Storm-Stadion, in the Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.