Phönix L. II vs TSB Flensburg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Schleswig-HolsteinSchleswig-Holstein - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Phönix L. II the favourite at 49%, against 20% for a draw and 31% for TSB Flensburg. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Phönix L. II vs TSB Flensburg?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Phönix L. II (1,777) and TSB Flensburg (1,739).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Phönix L. II have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; TSB Flensburg have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | VfR Neumünster(home) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kaltenkirchen(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Holstein Kiel II(away) | 4-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | VfB Lübeck(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nordmark Satrup(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kilia Kiel(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Union Neumünster(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Rotenhof(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Oldenburger SV(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| May 17, 2025 | Lübeck II(home) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
How many goals should we expect?
Phönix L. II score 2.7 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; TSB Flensburg score 2.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 82% probability of over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phönix L. II | 2.7 | 2.7 | 0 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
| TSB Flensburg | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Phönix L. II sit 5th in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein (9 points from 5 matches) and TSB Flensburg sit 4th (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | TSB Flensburg | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Phönix L. II | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Phönix L. II vs TSB Flensburg?
- The Footlab model makes Phönix L. II the favourite at 49%, against 20% for a draw and 31% for TSB Flensburg.
- Where and when is Phönix L. II vs TSB Flensburg played?
- Phönix L. II vs TSB Flensburg is played on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 82% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.