Oleksandria II vs Penuel: prediction and stats
Druha LigaRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC)KSK Olimp, Oleksandriia
The Footlab model makes Oleksandria II the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Penuel. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oleksandria II vs Penuel?
Oleksandria II starts as the favourite with a 156-point Elo edge (1,561 vs 1,406).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oleksandria II have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Penuel have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lozova(away) | 1-1 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Metalurh Zaporizhya(home) | 0-0 | Druha Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Trostianets(away) | 1-0 | Druha Liga |
| May 24, 2026 | Chornomorets II(away) | 1-2 | Druha Liga |
| May 17, 2026 | Livyi Bereg 2(home) | 2-3 | Druha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Metal Kharkiv(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Metalurh Zaporizhya(away) | 2-2 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SC Poltava 2(home) | 1-2 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Karbon Cherkasy(away) | 1-0 | Druha Liga |
| May 22, 2026 | Lokomotiv Kyiv(home) | 0-2 | Druha Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Oleksandria II win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Penuel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Penuel 1-1 Oleksandria II | Druha Liga |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Oleksandria II 1-0 Penuel | Druha Liga |
| Sep 3, 2025 | Penuel 1-1 Oleksandria II | Druha Liga |
Last archived meeting: Penuel vs Oleksandria II on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Oleksandria II score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Penuel score 1.0 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oleksandria II | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Penuel | 1.0 | 2.1 | 1 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oleksandria II sit 2nd in Druha Liga (5 points from 3 matches) and Penuel sit 4th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Oleksandria II | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 4 | Penuel | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oleksandria II vs Penuel?
- The Footlab model makes Oleksandria II the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Penuel.
- Where and when is Oleksandria II vs Penuel played?
- Oleksandria II vs Penuel is played on August 30, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at KSK Olimp, in the Druha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.