Trostianets vs Penuel: prediction and stats
Druha LigaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion imeni V. Kutsa, Trostianets
The Footlab model makes Trostianets the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for Penuel. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Trostianets vs Penuel?
Trostianets starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,550 vs 1,406).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trostianets have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Penuel have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Polonne(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Atlet(away) | 1-1 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lozova(home) | 2-0 | Druha Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Oleksandria II(home) | 0-1 | Druha Liga |
| May 22, 2026 | Hirnyk-Sport(away) | 1-1 | Druha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Metal Kharkiv(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Metalurh Zaporizhya(away) | 2-2 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SC Poltava 2(home) | 1-2 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Karbon Cherkasy(away) | 1-0 | Druha Liga |
| May 22, 2026 | Lokomotiv Kyiv(home) | 0-2 | Druha Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Trostianets win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Penuel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Trostianets 2-0 Penuel | Druha Liga |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Penuel 0-2 Trostianets | Druha Liga |
| Aug 4, 2025 | Trostianets 3-0 Penuel | Druha Liga |
Last archived meeting: Trostianets vs Penuel on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Trostianets score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Penuel score 1.0 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trostianets | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Penuel | 1.0 | 2.1 | 1 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Trostianets sit 3rd in Druha Liga (4 points from 3 matches) and Penuel sit 4th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Trostianets | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Penuel | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Trostianets vs Penuel?
- The Footlab model makes Trostianets the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for Penuel.
- Where and when is Trostianets vs Penuel played?
- Trostianets vs Penuel is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion imeni V. Kutsa, in the Druha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.