Trostianets vs Penuel: prediction and stats
Druha LigaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion imeni V. Kutsa, Trostianets
The Footlab AI model makes Trostianets the favourite at 72%, against 18% for a draw and 10% for Penuel. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Trostianets vs Penuel?
Trostianets starts as the favourite with a 195-point Elo edge (1,623 vs 1,428).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Trostianets vs Penuel
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Trostianets
4-3-3- 43V. Vasylchenko
- 11R. Buryak
- 36A. Bobita
- 90A. Bogdanov
- 20V. Koltsov
- 31S. Shapoval
- 7M. Cheglov
- 66N. Chukwuemeka
- 21K. Popovych
- 23Oleksandr Taranenko
- 71Artem Matus
Penuel
Not enough data to predict the Penuel lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 11:04 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trostianets have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Penuel have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Oleksandria II(away) | 1-0 | Druha Liga |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Chernihiv(home) | 2-4 | Cup |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Rebel(home) | 2-2 | Druha Liga |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Penuel(away) | 3-1 | Druha Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | SC Poltava 2(away) | 0-0 | Druha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Karbon Cherkasy(home) | 1-8 | Druha Liga |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Atlet(home) | 1-1 | Druha Liga |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Lozova(away) | 0-1 | Druha Liga |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Trostianets(home) | 1-3 | Druha Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Rebel(home) | 0-3 | Druha Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 4 Trostianets wins, 0 draws, 0 Penuel wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2026 | Penuel 1-3 Trostianets | Druha Liga |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Trostianets 2-0 Penuel | Druha Liga |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Penuel 0-2 Trostianets | Druha Liga |
| Aug 4, 2025 | Trostianets 3-0 Penuel | Druha Liga |
Last archived meeting: Penuel vs Trostianets on Sep 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Trostianets score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Penuel score 0.9 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trostianets | 1.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Penuel | 0.9 | 2.6 | 1 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Trostianets sit 2nd in Druha Liga (13 points from 8 matches) and Penuel sit 9th (5 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Trostianets | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 13 |
| 9 | Penuel | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 5 |
A question about Trostianets vs Penuel?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Trostianets vs Penuel?
- The Footlab AI model makes Trostianets the favourite at 72%, against 18% for a draw and 10% for Penuel.
- Where and when is Trostianets vs Penuel played?
- Trostianets vs Penuel is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion imeni V. Kutsa, in the Druha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.