Oleksandria vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka: prediction and stats
Persha LigaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)CSC Nika, Aleksandriya
The Footlab model makes Oleksandria the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Viktoriya Mykolaivka. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oleksandria vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Oleksandria (1,741) and Viktoriya Mykolaivka (1,687).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oleksandria have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Viktoriya Mykolaivka have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Bratslav Vinnytsia(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Metal Kharkiv(away) | 2-0 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Inhulets(home) | 3-0 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | UCSA(away) | 4-4 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Nyva Ternopil(home) | 1-1 | Persha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Podillya Khmelnytskyi(away) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kulykiv(home) | 2-1 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lokomotiv Kyiv(away) | 1-0 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka II(home) | 2-0 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Yarud Mariupol'(away) | 1-0 | Persha Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Oleksandria score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Viktoriya Mykolaivka score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oleksandria | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Viktoriya Mykolaivka | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oleksandria sit 3rd in Persha Liga (8 points from 4 matches) and Viktoriya Mykolaivka sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 12 |
| 3 | Oleksandria | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oleksandria vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka?
- The Footlab model makes Oleksandria the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Viktoriya Mykolaivka.
- Where and when is Oleksandria vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka played?
- Oleksandria vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka is played on September 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at CSC Nika, in the Persha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.