Olimpic Zărneşti vs Valenii de Munte: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 2Group 2 - 9Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Celuloza, Zărnești
The Footlab model makes Olimpic Zărneşti the favourite at 82%, against 10% for a draw and 8% for Valenii de Munte. The most likely score is 4-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Olimpic Zărneşti vs Valenii de Munte?
Olimpic Zărneşti starts as the favourite with a 172-point Elo edge (1,489 vs 1,318).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olimpic Zărneşti have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Valenii de Munte have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Corona Braşov(away) | 1-3 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Domnesti IF(away) | 7-2 | Cupa României |
| May 23, 2026 | Popești-Leordeni(away) | 0-2 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Agricola Borcea(home) | 3-2 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 9, 2026 | Dunarea Calarasi(away) | 2-2 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Berca(away) | 2-5 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Kids Tâmpa Braşov(away) | 0-2 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| May 9, 2026 | Progresul Mogosoaia(home) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| May 2, 2026 | Săcele(away) | 2-7 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Baicoi(home) | 0-2 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Olimpic Zărneşti win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Valenii de Munte win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | Valenii de Munte 1-1 Olimpic Zărneşti | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Olimpic Zărneşti 4-1 Valenii de Munte | Liga III - Serie 4 |
Last archived meeting: Valenii de Munte vs Olimpic Zărneşti on Nov 15, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Olimpic Zărneşti score 2.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Valenii de Munte score 1.3 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 91% probability of over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olimpic Zărneşti | 2.5 | 2.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Valenii de Munte | 1.3 | 2.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Olimpic Zărneşti vs Valenii de Munte?
- The Footlab model makes Olimpic Zărneşti the favourite at 82%, against 10% for a draw and 8% for Valenii de Munte.
- Where and when is Olimpic Zărneşti vs Valenii de Munte played?
- Olimpic Zărneşti vs Valenii de Munte is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Celuloza, in the Liga III - Serie 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 91% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.