Tricolorul Breaza vs Baicoi: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 2Group 2 - 9Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Eugen Șoriceanu, Breaza
The Footlab model makes Tricolorul Breaza the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Baicoi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tricolorul Breaza vs Baicoi?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Tricolorul Breaza (1,374) and Baicoi (1,417).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tricolorul Breaza have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Baicoi have 6, 0 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Pucioasa(away) | 0-1 | Cupa României |
| May 22, 2026 | Înainte Modelu(away) | 2-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Popești-Leordeni(home) | 0-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 9, 2026 | Agricola Borcea(away) | 0-6 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 1, 2026 | Dunarea Calarasi(home) | 3-0 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Metalul Buzău(home) | 2-4 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Berca(away) | 3-2 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Plopeni(away) | 2-1 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Progresul Mogosoaia(away) | 2-4 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| May 8, 2026 | Săcele(home) | 4-2 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Tricolorul Breaza win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Baicoi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | Baicoi 0-2 Tricolorul Breaza | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Tricolorul Breaza 2-2 Baicoi | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Tricolorul Breaza 2-1 Baicoi | Liga III - Serie 6 |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Baicoi 3-0 Tricolorul Breaza | Liga III - Serie 6 |
Last archived meeting: Baicoi vs Tricolorul Breaza on Dec 13, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Tricolorul Breaza score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Baicoi score 1.4 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tricolorul Breaza | 1.3 | 1.4 | 5 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Baicoi | 1.4 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tricolorul Breaza vs Baicoi?
- The Footlab model makes Tricolorul Breaza the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Baicoi.
- Where and when is Tricolorul Breaza vs Baicoi played?
- Tricolorul Breaza vs Baicoi is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Eugen Șoriceanu, in the Liga III - Serie 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.