Olimpija Ljubljana vs Nafta: prediction and stats
1. SNLRegular Season - 24Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Stožice, Ljubljana
The Footlab model makes Olimpija Ljubljana the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Nafta. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Olimpija Ljubljana vs Nafta?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Olimpija Ljubljana (1,783) and Nafta (1,761).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olimpija Ljubljana have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Nafta have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Nafta(home) | 1-0 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Maribor(home) | 1-1 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Celje(away) | 0-1 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Aluminij(home) | 1-0 | 1. SNL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Mura(away) | 0-1 | 1. SNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Olimpija Ljubljana(away) | 0-1 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Celje(home) | 1-3 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Aluminij(away) | 1-1 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Mura(home) | 5-2 | 1. SNL |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Bravo(away) | 3-0 | 1. SNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Olimpija Ljubljana win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Nafta win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Olimpija Ljubljana 1-0 Nafta | 1. SNL |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Nafta 1-1 Olimpija Ljubljana | 1. SNL |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Olimpija Ljubljana 3-0 Nafta | 1. SNL |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Nafta 0-1 Olimpija Ljubljana | 1. SNL |
| Aug 5, 2024 | Olimpija Ljubljana 2-0 Nafta | 1. SNL |
| Mar 8, 2023 | Nafta 1-3 Olimpija Ljubljana | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Olimpija Ljubljana vs Nafta on Aug 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Olimpija Ljubljana score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Nafta score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olimpija Ljubljana | 1.2 | 1.2 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Nafta | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Olimpija Ljubljana sit 7th in 1. SNL (7 points from 6 matches) and Nafta sit 10th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nafta | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 7 |
| 7 | Olimpija Ljubljana | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| 10 | Nafta | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Olimpija Ljubljana vs Nafta?
- The Footlab model makes Olimpija Ljubljana the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Nafta.
- Where and when is Olimpija Ljubljana vs Nafta played?
- Olimpija Ljubljana vs Nafta is played on February 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Stožice, in the 1. SNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.