Nafta vs Maribor: prediction and stats
1. SNLRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Športni park Lendava, Lendava
The Footlab AI model makes Maribor the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Nafta. The most likely score is 1-1. If Maribor wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,383 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nafta vs Maribor?
On Elo ratings, Nafta has 1,777 points and Maribor 1,859.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Nafta vs Maribor
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Nafta
4-3-3- 17A. Maroša
- 7Josip Ivan Zorica
- 21Shyon Omrani
- 41Kimi Lavrencic
- 18A. Pihler
- 8M. Ogwuche
- 2R. Pirtovšek
- 33L. Poredoš
- 98Á. Drágoner
- 20Andre Ferreira
- 1Lucas Erjavsek
Maribor
4-3-3- 70I. Tshipamba
- 17J. Mlakar
- 99B. Feta
- 7T. Cipot
- 5Ž. Jevšenak
- 8Claude Gonçalves
- 25M. Blažič
- 6B. M'bondo
- 21V. Koderman
- 23Ž. Karničnik
- 1A. Jug
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 12:46 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nafta have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Maribor have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Bravo(home) | 1-0 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Koper(away) | 0-2 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Brinje-Grosuplje(away) | 2-1 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Radomlje(home) | 3-1 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Maribor(home) | 2-3 | 1. SNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Brinje-Grosuplje(away) | 2-1 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 28, 2026 | HNK Gorica(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Aluminij(home) | 2-2 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Radomlje(away) | 3-0 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Mura(home) | 1-1 | 1. SNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Nafta win, 1 draw, 4 Maribor wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2026 | Nafta 2-3 Maribor | 1. SNL |
| May 25, 2025 | Maribor 0-1 Nafta | 1. SNL |
| Apr 16, 2025 | Nafta 1-1 Maribor | 1. SNL |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Maribor 4-0 Nafta | 1. SNL |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Nafta 0-3 Maribor | 1. SNL |
| Jan 16, 2024 | Nafta 0-3 Maribor | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Nafta score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Maribor score 1.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nafta | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Maribor | 1.8 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nafta sit 4th in 1. SNL (16 points from 11 matches) and Maribor sit 1st (23 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maribor | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 21 | 9 | 23 |
| 4 | Nafta | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 16 |
A question about Nafta vs Maribor?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nafta vs Maribor?
- The Footlab AI model makes Maribor the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Nafta.
- Where and when is Nafta vs Maribor played?
- Nafta vs Maribor is played on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Športni park Lendava, in the 1. SNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.