Oltrepò vs Pavia: result 0-1 and analysis
Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 3Kick-off on September 21, 2025 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
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What was the result of Oltrepò vs Pavia?
Pavia won 0-1 on September 21, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 23′635481Pavia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oltrepò have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Pavia have 2, 0 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2025 | Varesina(away) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Vogherese(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Pavia(home) | 0-2 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| May 4, 2025 | Vogherese(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Derthona(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2025 | Milan II(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Caldiero Terme(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Oltrepò(away) | 2-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Vogherese(away) | 3-2 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Oltrepò win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Pavia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2025 | Oltrepò 0-2 Pavia | Coppa Italia Serie D |
How many goals should we expect?
Oltrepò score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Pavia score 1.5 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oltrepò | 1.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Pavia | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1 | 2/4 | 3/4 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oltrepò sit 6th in Serie D - Girone B (52 points from 34 matches) and Pavia sit 15th (37 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Oltrepò | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 38 | 36 | 52 |
| 15 | Pavia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 47 | 37 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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