Olympiakos Piraeus vs AEK Athens FC: prediction and stats
Super League 1Regular Season - 13Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki, Piraeus
The Footlab model makes Olympiakos Piraeus the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for AEK Athens FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Olympiakos Piraeus vs AEK Athens FC?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Olympiakos Piraeus (2,100) and AEK Athens FC (2,122).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olympiakos Piraeus have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; AEK Athens FC have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Atromitos(home) | 1-0 | Super League 1 |
| Aug 11, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Antwerp(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Iraklis 1908(home) | 4-0 | Super League 1 |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Levski Sofia(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 12, 2026 | OFI(home) | 2-2 | Super Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kallithea(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | St. Truiden(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Olympiakos Piraeus win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 AEK Athens FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | AEK Athens FC 1-1 Olympiakos Piraeus | Super League 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Olympiakos Piraeus 0-1 AEK Athens FC | Super League 1 |
| Feb 1, 2026 | AEK Athens FC 1-1 Olympiakos Piraeus | Super League 1 |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Olympiakos Piraeus 2-0 AEK Athens FC | Super League 1 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | AEK Athens FC 0-2 Olympiakos Piraeus | Super League 1 |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Olympiakos Piraeus 1-0 AEK Athens FC | Super League 1 |
Last archived meeting: AEK Athens FC vs Olympiakos Piraeus on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Olympiakos Piraeus score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; AEK Athens FC score 1.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiakos Piraeus | 0.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| AEK Athens FC | 1.9 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Olympiakos Piraeus sit 6th in Super League 1 (3 points from 1 matches) and AEK Athens FC sit 1st (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEK Athens FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Olympiakos Piraeus vs AEK Athens FC?
- The Footlab model makes Olympiakos Piraeus the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for AEK Athens FC.
- Where and when is Olympiakos Piraeus vs AEK Athens FC played?
- Olympiakos Piraeus vs AEK Athens FC is played on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki, in the Super League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.