Celje vs Olympiakos Piraeus: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa LeagueLeague Stage - 6Kick-off on December 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Z'dežele, Celje
The Footlab AI model makes Olympiakos Piraeus the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Celje. The most likely score is 1-1. If Olympiakos Piraeus wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Celje vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
Olympiakos Piraeus starts as the favourite with a 292-point Elo edge (2,191 vs 1,899).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Celje vs Olympiakos Piraeus
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Celje
4-2-3-1- 47A. Kučys
- 10S. Sešlar
- 91Y. Dukuly
- 8M. Kvesić
- 77M. Ivanšek
- 19M. Zabukovnik
- 6A. Tutyškinas
- 11M. Avdyli
- 44Ł. Bejger
- 2P. Širvys
- 1Žan-Luk Leban
Olympiakos Piraeus
4-2-3-1- 34A. González
- 20Jota Silva
- 22Chiquinho
- 19R. Freuler
- 7K. Fortounis
- 15G. Puerta
- 45P. Retsos
- 5L. Pirola
- 2M. Saliakas
- 71N. Tiknizyan
- 1S. Ortega
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:56 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celje have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Olympiakos Piraeus have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Aluminij(home) | 1-0 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Mura(away) | 0-0 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bravo(away) | 1-2 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Koper(home) | 0-1 | 1. SNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Panathinaikos(home) | 1-0 | Super League 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Levadiakos(away) | 1-0 | Super League 1 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Jagiellonia(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | OFI(home) | 0-1 | Super League 1 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Volos NFC(home) | 3-2 | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Celje score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Olympiakos Piraeus score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celje | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Olympiakos Piraeus | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Celje sit 29th in UEFA Europa League (0 points from 1 match) and Olympiakos Piraeus sit 13th (3 points from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 29 | Celje | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
A question about Celje vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Celje vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
- The Footlab AI model makes Olympiakos Piraeus the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Celje.
- Where and when is Celje vs Olympiakos Piraeus played?
- Celje vs Olympiakos Piraeus is played on December 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Z'dežele, in the UEFA Europa League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.