Olympiakos vs AEK Larnaca: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 10Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Makareio Stadio, Lefkosía
The Footlab AI model makes AEK Larnaca the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Olympiakos. The most likely score is 1-1. If AEK Larnaca wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Olympiakos vs AEK Larnaca?
AEK Larnaca starts as the favourite with a 278-point Elo edge (2,049 vs 1,771).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Olympiakos vs AEK Larnaca
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Olympiakos
3-4-1-2- 26P. Kynigopoulos
- 15R. Sappinen
- 8Bruno Paz
- 77A. Vrikkis
- 80Miguel Esteves Sancho Pedro
- 6Georgios Okkas
- 10D. Prokop
- 55Henrique Gomes
- 5Eduardo Kunde
- 23M. Pechlivanis
- 1C. Talichmanidis
AEK Larnaca
4-2-3-1- 11R. Bajić
- 14A. Layouni
- 7Gus Ledes
- 20J. Repas
- 9Đ. Ivanović
- 6I. Pankov
- 15H. Miličević
- 3M. van der Hoorn
- 17K. Pileas
- 23S. Köhler
- 92A. Paleari
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 01:23 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olympiakos have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; AEK Larnaca have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Aris(home) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Omonia Aradippou(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Omonia 29is Maiou(home) | 3-3 | 1. Division |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Pafos(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Nea Salamis(home) | 3-3 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Omonia Aradippou(home) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Apollon Limassol(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Nea Salamis(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Omonia 29is Maiou(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Pafos(home) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Olympiakos wins, 2 draws, 4 AEK Larnaca wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | AEK Larnaca 1-1 Olympiakos | 1. Division |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Olympiakos 1-4 AEK Larnaca | 1. Division |
| Jan 20, 2023 | Olympiakos 0-2 AEK Larnaca | 1. Division |
| Oct 17, 2022 | AEK Larnaca 4-2 Olympiakos | 1. Division |
| Feb 9, 2022 | Olympiakos 0-0 AEK Larnaca | 1. Division |
| Sep 27, 2021 | AEK Larnaca 1-0 Olympiakos | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: AEK Larnaca vs Olympiakos on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Olympiakos score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; AEK Larnaca score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiakos | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| AEK Larnaca | 1.8 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Olympiakos sit 10th in 1. Division (4 points from 5 matches) and AEK Larnaca sit 4th (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | AEK Larnaca | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 9 |
| 10 | Olympiakos | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 4 |
A question about Olympiakos vs AEK Larnaca?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Olympiakos vs AEK Larnaca?
- The Footlab AI model makes AEK Larnaca the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Olympiakos.
- Where and when is Olympiakos vs AEK Larnaca played?
- Olympiakos vs AEK Larnaca is played on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Makareio Stadio, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.