Karmiotissa vs AEL: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 10Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Stadio Pano Polemidias, Pano Polemidia
The Footlab AI model makes AEL the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Karmiotissa. The most likely score is 1-1. If AEL wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karmiotissa vs AEL?
AEL starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,841 vs 1,737).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Karmiotissa vs AEL
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Karmiotissa
4-3-2-1- 9Patrick Luan
- 21P. Psychas
- 8Curtis Yebli
- 20Marios Kokkinoftas
- 77P. Tachtsidis
- 7M. Bajunovic
- 4S. Dembélé
- 6C. Wheeler
- 33Julio Cesar
- 22Rubén García
- 1Nikolaos Giannakopoulos
AEL
4-2-3-1- 77F. Mughe
- 11L. Singh
- 20João Tavares
- 30G. Papageorgiou
- 6D. Zdravkovski
- 19I. Milosavljević
- 23Diogo Gomes
- 33E. Antoniou
- 22K. Neofytou
- 35Sérgio Conceição
- 1S. Kapino
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 01:49 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karmiotissa have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; AEL have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(home) | 0-3 | 1. Division |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Aris(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Omonia Aradippou(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Omonia 29is Maiou(away) | 2-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Pafos(home) | 0-3 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Omonia 29is Maiou(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Pafos(away) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Nea Salamis(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Apoel Nicosia(away) | 0-6 | 1. Division |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Anorthosis(home) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Karmiotissa win, 1 draw, 4 AEL wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2025 | AEL 1-0 Karmiotissa | 1. Division |
| Mar 7, 2025 | Karmiotissa 2-1 AEL | 1. Division |
| Dec 8, 2024 | AEL 4-0 Karmiotissa | 1. Division |
| May 10, 2024 | AEL 4-3 Karmiotissa | 1. Division |
| Apr 3, 2024 | Karmiotissa 0-0 AEL | 1. Division |
| Feb 6, 2024 | Karmiotissa 1-3 AEL | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Karmiotissa score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; AEL score 1.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karmiotissa | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| AEL | 1.6 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Karmiotissa sit 12th in 1. Division (3 points from 5 matches) and AEL sit 1st (12 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEL | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 12 |
| 12 | Karmiotissa | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
A question about Karmiotissa vs AEL?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karmiotissa vs AEL?
- The Footlab AI model makes AEL the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Karmiotissa.
- Where and when is Karmiotissa vs AEL played?
- Karmiotissa vs AEL is played on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Dimotiko Stadio Pano Polemidias, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.