Karmiotissa vs AEL: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 10Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Stadio Pano Polemidias, Pano Polemidia
The Footlab model makes Karmiotissa the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for AEL. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karmiotissa vs AEL?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Karmiotissa (1,725) and AEL (1,782).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karmiotissa have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; AEL have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | PAEEK(away) | 0-0 | 2. Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Nea Salamis(home) | 1-0 | 2. Division |
| Apr 4, 2026 | ASIL Lysi(away) | 6-2 | 2. Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | MEAP Nisou(home) | 1-0 | 2. Division |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Ayia Napa(home) | 3-0 | 2. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Krasava Odintsovo(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Radomiak Radom(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 15, 2026 | Akritas(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| May 9, 2026 | Olympiakos(home) | 1-3 | 1. Division |
| May 2, 2026 | Krasava Ypsonas(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Karmiotissa win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 AEL win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2025 | AEL 1-0 Karmiotissa | 1. Division |
| Mar 7, 2025 | Karmiotissa 2-1 AEL | 1. Division |
| Dec 8, 2024 | AEL 4-0 Karmiotissa | 1. Division |
| May 10, 2024 | AEL 4-3 Karmiotissa | 1. Division |
| Apr 3, 2024 | Karmiotissa 0-0 AEL | 1. Division |
| Feb 6, 2024 | Karmiotissa 1-3 AEL | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Karmiotissa score 2.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; AEL score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karmiotissa | 2.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| AEL | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | AEL | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 41 | 46 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karmiotissa vs AEL?
- The Footlab model makes Karmiotissa the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for AEL.
- Where and when is Karmiotissa vs AEL played?
- Karmiotissa vs AEL is played on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Dimotiko Stadio Pano Polemidias, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.