Olympiakos vs AEL: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 24Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Makareio Stadio, Lefkosía
The Footlab AI model makes AEL the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Olympiakos. The most likely score is 1-1. If AEL wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,576 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Olympiakos vs AEL?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Olympiakos (1,770) and AEL (1,840).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Olympiakos vs AEL
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Olympiakos
3-4-1-2- 26P. Kynigopoulos
- 15R. Sappinen
- 8Bruno Paz
- 77A. Vrikkis
- 80Miguel Esteves Sancho Pedro
- 6Georgios Okkas
- 10D. Prokop
- 55Henrique Gomes
- 5Eduardo Kunde
- 23M. Pechlivanis
- 1C. Talichmanidis
AEL
4-2-3-1- 77F. Mughe
- 11L. Singh
- 20João Tavares
- 30G. Papageorgiou
- 6D. Zdravkovski
- 19I. Milosavljević
- 23Diogo Gomes
- 33E. Antoniou
- 22K. Neofytou
- 35Sérgio Conceição
- 1S. Kapino
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 04:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olympiakos have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; AEL have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Aris(home) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Omonia Aradippou(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Omonia 29is Maiou(home) | 3-3 | 1. Division |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Pafos(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Nea Salamis(home) | 3-3 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Omonia 29is Maiou(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Pafos(away) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Nea Salamis(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Apoel Nicosia(away) | 0-6 | 1. Division |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Anorthosis(home) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Olympiakos win, 3 draws, 2 AEL wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | AEL 1-3 Olympiakos | 1. Division |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Olympiakos 0-0 AEL | 1. Division |
| Aug 22, 2025 | AEL 2-0 Olympiakos | 1. Division |
| Apr 30, 2023 | Olympiakos 1-1 AEL | 1. Division |
| Apr 26, 2023 | AEL 1-0 Olympiakos | Cup |
| Apr 5, 2023 | Olympiakos 0-0 AEL | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Olympiakos score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; AEL score 1.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiakos | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| AEL | 1.6 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Olympiakos sit 10th in 1. Division (4 points from 5 matches) and AEL sit 2nd (12 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | AEL | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Olympiakos | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 4 |
A question about Olympiakos vs AEL?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Olympiakos vs AEL?
- The Footlab AI model makes AEL the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Olympiakos.
- Where and when is Olympiakos vs AEL played?
- Olympiakos vs AEL is played on February 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Makareio Stadio, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.