Olympiakos vs AEL: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 24Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Makareio Stadio, Lefkosía
The Footlab model makes Olympiakos the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for AEL. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Olympiakos vs AEL?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Olympiakos (1,755) and AEL (1,783).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olympiakos have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; AEL have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Anorthosis(home) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| May 9, 2026 | AEL(away) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
| May 1, 2026 | Omonia Aradippou(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ethnikos Achna(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Akritas(home) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Krasava Odintsovo(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Radomiak Radom(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 15, 2026 | Akritas(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| May 9, 2026 | Olympiakos(home) | 1-3 | 1. Division |
| May 2, 2026 | Krasava Ypsonas(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Olympiakos win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 AEL win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | AEL 1-3 Olympiakos | 1. Division |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Olympiakos 0-0 AEL | 1. Division |
| Aug 22, 2025 | AEL 2-0 Olympiakos | 1. Division |
| Apr 30, 2023 | Olympiakos 1-1 AEL | 1. Division |
| Apr 26, 2023 | AEL 1-0 Olympiakos | Cup |
| Apr 5, 2023 | Olympiakos 0-0 AEL | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Olympiakos score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; AEL score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiakos | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| AEL | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Olympiakos sit 11th in 1. Division (40 points from 33 matches) and AEL sit 8th (44 points from 33 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | AEL | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 41 | 46 | 44 |
| 11 | Olympiakos | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 32 | 44 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Olympiakos vs AEL?
- The Footlab model makes Olympiakos the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for AEL.
- Where and when is Olympiakos vs AEL played?
- Olympiakos vs AEL is played on February 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Makareio Stadio, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.