Apollon Limassol vs AEK Larnaca: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 24Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi
The Footlab AI model makes Apollon Limassol the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for AEK Larnaca. The most likely score is 1-1. If Apollon Limassol wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,788 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Apollon Limassol vs AEK Larnaca?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Apollon Limassol (1,987) and AEK Larnaca (2,048).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Apollon Limassol vs AEK Larnaca
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Apollon Limassol
4-2-3-1- 30Dani Escriche
- 27G. Weissbeck
- 23Brandon Thomas
- 12Gustavo Assunção
- 10Garry Rodrigues
- 77I. Ljubic
- 44J. Kvída
- 37L. Konomis
- 14G. Malekkides
- 76Bruno Gaspar
- 22P. Kühn
AEK Larnaca
4-2-3-1- 11R. Bajić
- 14A. Layouni
- 7Gus Ledes
- 20J. Repas
- 21Miramón
- 9Đ. Ivanović
- 15H. Miličević
- 23S. Köhler
- 22G. Ekpolo
- 3M. van der Hoorn
- 92A. Paleari
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 03:13 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Apollon Limassol have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; AEK Larnaca have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Nea Salamis(home) | 4-2 | 1. Division |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Krasava Ypsonas(away) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | AEK Larnaca(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Apoel Nicosia(home) | 2-2 | 1. Division |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Aris(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Omonia Aradippou(home) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Apollon Limassol(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Nea Salamis(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Omonia 29is Maiou(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Apollon Limassol win, 2 draws, 3 AEK Larnaca wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | AEK Larnaca 3-0 Apollon Limassol | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Apollon Limassol 0-0 AEK Larnaca | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 6, 2026 | AEK Larnaca 1-0 Apollon Limassol | 1. Division |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Apollon Limassol 1-1 AEK Larnaca | 1. Division |
| Feb 14, 2026 | AEK Larnaca 0-1 Apollon Limassol | 1. Division |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Apollon Limassol 1-2 AEK Larnaca | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: AEK Larnaca vs Apollon Limassol on Oct 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Apollon Limassol score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; AEK Larnaca score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apollon Limassol | 1.9 | 1.6 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| AEK Larnaca | 1.8 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Apollon Limassol sit 2nd in 1. Division (12 points from 6 matches) and AEK Larnaca sit 3rd (12 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Apollon Limassol | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 8 | 12 |
| 3 | AEK Larnaca | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 12 |
A question about Apollon Limassol vs AEK Larnaca?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Apollon Limassol vs AEK Larnaca?
- The Footlab AI model makes Apollon Limassol the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for AEK Larnaca.
- Where and when is Apollon Limassol vs AEK Larnaca played?
- Apollon Limassol vs AEK Larnaca is played on February 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Alphamega Stadium, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.